Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-09 74.204077 83.461483 92.949034 103.367749 114.456527 125.876535 138.497236
2025-03-16 59.296429 72.449612 86.559228 102.691652 120.502864 139.453045 161.027156
2025-03-23 51.504668 66.938859 84.052722 104.173275 126.933177 151.655759 180.321153
2025-03-30 45.852700 62.973605 82.514735 106.034036 133.169582 163.133625 198.372242
2025-04-06 39.929184 57.993622 79.212000 105.330713 136.025812 170.431761 211.409747
2025-04-13 34.108224 52.548677 74.859389 102.944990 136.546819 174.749841 220.790340
2025-04-20 31.982639 51.490508 75.609283 106.457916 143.826151 186.724779 238.835736
2025-04-27 29.538330 49.776621 75.357180 108.597457 149.353383 196.579095 254.380647
2025-05-04 26.208605 46.591533 73.017254 107.969399 151.397533 202.229138 264.947491
2025-05-11 23.123862 43.469916 70.542034 106.985464 152.856610 207.069180 274.472241
2025-05-18 21.030381 41.566154 69.521873 107.726354 156.339865 214.255312 286.714646
2025-05-25 18.718054 39.137719 67.642913 107.233115 158.190238 219.405283 296.488504
2025-06-01 16.937276 37.387710 66.621021 107.830226 161.422746 226.283595 308.424656
2025-06-08 14.770569 34.833124 64.334092 106.643101 162.317865 230.263744 316.860008
2025-06-15 13.631954 33.829401 64.168714 108.234364 166.716534 238.515714 330.435751
2025-06-22 12.677505 33.042960 64.256866 110.126416 171.477197 247.205410 344.548056
2025-06-29 11.133453 31.079204 62.503365 109.408704 172.788601 251.572382 353.372841
2025-07-06 9.340893 28.450580 59.598235 106.967536 171.746155 252.926543 358.455244
2025-07-13 9.066434 28.640962 60.992740 110.561572 178.668662 264.291572 375.854354
2025-07-20 8.509390 28.224772 61.410356 112.749955 183.718181 273.299768 390.365642
2025-07-27 7.428333 26.632820 59.892104 112.107598 184.945977 277.444310 398.851803
2025-08-03 6.388172 24.976494 58.173571 111.101195 185.629327 280.858491 406.406456
2025-08-10 5.751616 24.108998 57.689333 111.859011 188.674408 287.276206 417.697146